GOOGLE
READER’S UNTIMELY DEMISE INDICATES THAT THE PACE OF CHANGE IN THE TECH WORLD
ESPECIALLY SOFTWARE AND EVEN HARDWARE HAS BECOME BRUTAL
GOOGLE
RECENTLY announced
that it is sun setting its web-based aggregator, capable of reading Atom and
RSS feeds online or offline. While it has been around since 2005, Google has
not been updating it as regularly as its other products. It also happens to be
a free service, which does not provide a major revenue stream to Google. It has
a loyal following but its user base has never become viral and grown as other
flagship products of Google like YouTube, Google+ (yes it is growing with 400M
subscribers). In fact Google Reader’s average user profile is more likely to be
a technology geek not an ordinary man on the street. And user habits have
changed. People prefer to get their news from Twitter or Facebook where the
social sharing nature of the news makes it more interesting and filtered. You
get news with comments from friends and people whose opinions you respect when
you go to Twitter or Facebook. Twitter Lists makes our information gathering
even more elegant as it lets you make a curated group of Twitter users. No
wonder users have moved away from Google Reader.
The
pace of change in the technology world especially software and to an extent
even hardware has become brutal. Hardware is becoming more mobile and portable
while the software is becoming more social and cloud based. We are moving
quickly to ipads from laptops. We consume music via Spotify, which tells us
what our friends have been listening to while only a few years back we were on
CDs. What these trends tell us is that new technology adoption is quicker and
faster than it has ever been. The new generation user is very comfortable
shifting to new ways of communicating, working and entertaining as he has
grown up in the world at a time when change was the new normal. Examples abound
- employees and employers who were on Job boards like Monster just a couple of
years back have now moved rapidly to LinkedIn. In fact the job boards virtually
look Jurassic today. Look at what is happening to photo sharing space. Photo
networks like Instagr am, Tumblr, Google+ have taken over how we share
pictures. Cameras have given way to smart phones. Successful next generation
companies like Google and Facebook understand this better than older companies
like Microsoft or even a Yahoo!
That
is why we see that they are ruthless when it comes to killing products. New
products and new versions are introduced and tested real time. Products and
features, which do not make it, get withdrawn as quickly as they were introduced.
Google has already shuttered many other services like Google waves, iGoogle,
Google desktop, Google Buzz, Google Gears and even Google Labs. Mark Zuckerberg
is famous for keeping Facebook in a state of permanent Beta. Facebook
introduced FaceBook Questions a feature equivalent to Yahoo Answers, which has
disappeared. Similarly Facebook killed its first location based offering
“Places” within a year of its launch. Of course in all these cases these
companies introduce the same functionality in a better and more popular way
under a different name and place. Facebook location feature now tells you
where you were, where you are and where you are going next instead of just
“checking in”. Same way Google is hoping that its Reader users will shift to
Google+ and use it to read and share news in a more social way. They believe
their users will adept quickly to the change and rightly so.
Nassim
Taleb, world-renowned thinker and author of the book The Black Swan has
an interesting theory, which could describe what we are seeing in the
technology world. In his most recent book Antifragile – Things that gain
from disorder, he says that the only way to succeed in a world where
random, unpredictable events disrupt all calculations is to learn how to thrive
and become stronger in the midst of shocks.
Perhaps
the Googles of the world have understood this well. They are proving time and again
that they can shock their internal and external stakeholders with events such
as this announcement about Google Reader. In the process of doing so they get
better and better at culling products that are past their prime and reinventing
themselves time and again.
No wonder then that Taleb believes that the only anti-fragile systems
now are Silicon Valley and New York restaurant industry. Both are highly
innovative and are characterized by high levels of failure and upside. What it
means is that great success can only be achieved by heuristic trial-and-error,
not stability. We should view the demise of Google Reader in this light. It is
one more way Google is trying not to go the Yahoo! way.